How Could Oil Prices Over the Next 4 Weeks Pressure Bitcoin?

Intensifying tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global crude supply passes, have put oil prices back at the center of crypto's risk assessment. President Trump suggested the conflict with Iran could last four weeks, leading shipping giant Maersk to suspend transit through the strait. Oil price volatility is high, with estimates suggesting a full one-month disruption could raise prices by $15 per barrel, or potentially spike crude toward $120–$150 in extreme scenarios. The primary threat to Bitcoin is not the oil price itself, but the resulting liquidity shock. Elevated oil prices feed inflation, potentially forcing central banks to delay anticipated rate cuts. This leads to higher Treasury yields, which tightens liquidity, causing capital to flow away from speculative assets like Bitcoin. Analysts note that if crude remains high, it could trigger a mechanical selloff where higher yields pressure both equities and digital assets simultaneously, making oil a critical leading indicator for crypto over the coming month.

(Source：BeInCrypto)