Buying Bitcoin? Hold BTC for at Least Three Years to Avoid Losses

According to data analyzed by André Dragosch of Bitwise Europe, holding Bitcoin (BTC) for a minimum of three years significantly minimizes investment risk, with the probability of loss dropping to only 0.70% across historical three-year holding periods. Holding for longer periods shows even lower risk, at 0.2% over five years and 0% over ten years, contrasting sharply with short-term holders who face a nearly 47% chance of loss when buying intraday. Analysis of realized prices shows that investors holding for three to five years were still profitable (around 90% gain) even when the price dropped significantly from its peak, whereas those who bought in the last two years were largely underwater. Furthermore, long-term price forecasts for 2026–2027 remain bullish, with targets clustering around $100,000 to $150,000.

(Source：Cointelegraph)